Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.092186 2.422874 2.786433 3.215463 3.707606 4.254187 4.906987
2025-02-16 1.550271 1.962663 2.455346 3.086152 3.871200 4.814869 6.034203
2025-02-23 1.164913 1.596272 2.150933 2.913914 3.933563 5.246403 7.062099
2025-03-02 0.886207 1.304785 1.879997 2.723999 3.926127 5.571443 7.988155
2025-03-09 0.732812 1.151165 1.761468 2.710227 4.140462 6.206898 9.407809
2025-03-16 0.597778 0.997317 1.613343 2.623437 4.227579 6.662887 10.622246
2025-03-23 0.540521 0.951902 1.618415 2.764537 4.670958 7.694751 12.825297
2025-03-30 0.483303 0.895477 1.595000 2.852498 5.036184 8.643178 15.009415
2025-04-06 0.422332 0.821362 1.529163 2.856289 5.256609 9.375930 16.920839
2025-04-13 0.350254 0.714351 1.388710 2.706182 5.185205 9.600133 17.981286
2025-04-20 0.320646 0.682613 1.379609 2.792452 5.546668 10.616366 20.551952
2025-04-27 0.301793 0.668836 1.401792 2.939541 6.037573 11.917562 23.786004
2025-05-04 0.273050 0.631263 1.374406 2.990684 6.360683 12.964023 26.706804
2025-05-11 0.245475 0.591574 1.336937 3.016105 6.636386 13.953335 29.640105
2025-05-18 0.212653 0.534340 1.253628 2.932170 6.674069 14.473739 31.696006
2025-05-25 0.180441 0.472599 1.150601 2.788844 6.563105 14.672272 33.103273
2025-06-01 0.163294 0.444362 1.119311 2.803112 6.800949 15.631381 36.237463
2025-06-08 0.143063 0.404643 1.054821 2.729779 6.828601 16.136163 38.434692
2025-06-15 0.137865 0.403425 1.083780 2.886520 7.416098 17.953122 43.782066
2025-06-22 0.129914 0.393324 1.088886 2.984386 7.873815 19.523797 48.736634
2025-06-29 0.118534 0.371527 1.060430 2.991997 8.108688 20.598737 52.643137
2025-07-06 0.101730 0.330800 0.975183 2.837080 7.909329 20.609937 53.986856
2025-07-13 0.096356 0.323445 0.980444 2.928596 8.365120 22.278072 59.600799